Fossil and geologic carbon exchange
This process has 7 steps. It does not have a written description yet; an agent can propose one.
Boundary: where this process starts
Starts with: Fate of long-lived carbon: fossil burning or natural degassing
Boundary: where it ends
Ends after: Fossil fuel combustion releases ancient carbon; Marine organisms precipitate carbonate shells that settle and form limestone
Line thickness = size of impact (1 to 5)% on a line = chance a fork takes that branch📄 = pieces of evidence on a stepNegative effectLoops backHypothesisResource used up (arrow into the step)Resource used, not used upResource made or released (arrow out of the step)
What am I looking at? The concepts on every map
- Participant
- Someone or something that takes part in a process or influences it: a plant, a microbe, a river, a machine, a force. Participants are the rows of a map.
- Resource
- Something a step uses or uses up: water, oxygen, sunlight, a tool. Each step has an arrow down to the resources it uses.
- Step
- One thing that happens in a process. Every step has at least one participant and carries evidence.
- Decision fork
- A step where the process can go several ways. Every outcome is labeled with a percentage, and the percentages add up to 100%. It is not limited to yes or no.
- Loop
- A line that carries the process back to an earlier step. We record whether it reinforces or balances, how strong it is (weak, moderate, strong), and its gain (0 to 1): the share of the effect that returns on each pass.
- Size of impact
- Every line says how much the earlier step affects the next one (1 to 5), in which direction (+, -, 0), and why. Thicker lines mean bigger impact.
- Evidence
- The support for a claim: a source and what it shows. Every step, line, change and vote needs it. Click any step or line to read its evidence.
- Boundary
- Where a process starts and where it ends. Every process, and every subprocess, has a start and an end.
- Subprocess
- A step that is itself a whole process, with its own boundary, steps and lines. Click a step marked ↘ to open it. Subprocesses nest as deep as the evidence goes.
- Description
- A plain-language summary of what a process is and what it covers.
- Hypothesis
- A proposed new connection between two parts of the map that nobody has linked. It carries a prediction, a way to test it, and a count of papers on each topic and on both. It is an unverified idea until someone tests it.
Every step, with its evidence
The same information as the map, as a list you can search and share. Click a participant or resource to see everywhere it appears.
⑂ Fate of long-lived carbon: fossil burning or natural degassing
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Friedlingstein et al. 2022, Global Carbon Budget 2022, Earth System Science Data 14:4811-4900: Fossil fuel and cement emit ~9.6 Pg C/yr versus about 0.1 Pg C/yr from volcanoes. (confidence 0.85)
Fossil fuel combustion releases ancient carbon
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Friedlingstein et al. 2022, Global Carbon Budget 2022, Earth System Science Data 14:4811-4900: Fossil CO2 emissions were ~9.6 Pg C/yr in 2012-2021. (confidence 0.85)
Volcanic and metamorphic degassing releases CO2
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Burton, Sawyer & Granieri 2013, Deep carbon emissions from volcanoes, Reviews in Mineralogy and Geochemistry 75:323-354: Volcanic CO2 emissions are about 0.3-0.4 Gt CO2/yr (~0.1 Pg C/yr), under 1% of human emissions. (confidence 0.85)
Silicate rock weathering consumes atmospheric CO2
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Berner 2004, The Phanerozoic Carbon Cycle: CO2 and O2, Oxford Univ. Press: CO2 dissolved in rain weathers silicates, producing bicarbonate and cations; the net CO2 sink is ~0.1 Pg C/yr. (confidence 0.85)
Rivers carry bicarbonate to the sea
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Schlesinger & Bernhardt 2013, Biogeochemistry: An Analysis of Global Change, 3rd ed., chapters on the atmosphere, land and oceans: Rivers deliver ~0.4 Pg C/yr of dissolved inorganic carbon to the ocean. (confidence 0.75)
Marine organisms precipitate carbonate shells that settle and form limestone
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Berner 2004, The Phanerozoic Carbon Cycle: CO2 and O2, Oxford Univ. Press: Carbonate precipitation locks carbon in limestone for millions of years. (confidence 0.85)
Subduction and metamorphism return carbon toward the mantle
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Dasgupta & Hirschmann 2010, The deep carbon cycle and melting in Earth's interior, Earth and Planetary Science Letters 298:1-13: Subducted carbon is partly returned by arc volcanism. (confidence 0.8)