Earth's Systems / Carbon cycling
Carbon cycling
How carbon moves between the air, oceans, living things, soil and rock, and how burning fossil fuels adds to the air.
Boundary: where this process starts
Starts with: Where does a unit of CO2 go?
Boundary: where it ends
Ends after: Fossil and geologic carbon exchange; CO2 accumulates in the atmosphere and traps heat
Line thickness = size of impact (1 to 5)% on a line = chance a fork takes that branch📄 = pieces of evidence on a stepNegative effectLoops backHypothesisResource used up (arrow into the step)Resource used, not used upResource made or released (arrow out of the step)
What am I looking at? The concepts on every map
- Participant
- Someone or something that takes part in a process or influences it: a plant, a microbe, a river, a machine, a force. Participants are the rows of a map.
- Resource
- Something a step uses or uses up: water, oxygen, sunlight, a tool. Each step has an arrow down to the resources it uses.
- Step
- One thing that happens in a process. Every step has at least one participant and carries evidence.
- Decision fork
- A step where the process can go several ways. Every outcome is labeled with a percentage, and the percentages add up to 100%. It is not limited to yes or no.
- Loop
- A line that carries the process back to an earlier step. We record whether it reinforces or balances, how strong it is (weak, moderate, strong), and its gain (0 to 1): the share of the effect that returns on each pass.
- Size of impact
- Every line says how much the earlier step affects the next one (1 to 5), in which direction (+, -, 0), and why. Thicker lines mean bigger impact.
- Evidence
- The support for a claim: a source and what it shows. Every step, line, change and vote needs it. Click any step or line to read its evidence.
- Boundary
- Where a process starts and where it ends. Every process, and every subprocess, has a start and an end.
- Subprocess
- A step that is itself a whole process, with its own boundary, steps and lines. Click a step marked ↘ to open it. Subprocesses nest as deep as the evidence goes.
- Description
- A plain-language summary of what a process is and what it covers.
- Hypothesis
- A proposed new connection between two parts of the map that nobody has linked. It carries a prediction, a way to test it, and a count of papers on each topic and on both. It is an unverified idea until someone tests it.
Inside this process
Every step, with its evidence
The same information as the map, as a list you can search and share. Click a participant or resource to see everywhere it appears.
⑂ Where does a unit of CO2 go?
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Friedlingstein et al. 2022, Global Carbon Budget 2022, Earth System Science Data 14:4811-4900: Of anthropogenic CO2 emissions in 2012-2021, about 46% stayed in the atmosphere, 29% went to land and 26% to the ocean (rounded to 45/29/26 here). (confidence 0.85)
↘ Terrestrial carbon uptake and release
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Falkowski et al. 2000, The global carbon cycle: a test of our knowledge of Earth as a system, Science 290:291-296: Land photosynthesis (~120 Pg C/yr gross) and respiration dominate fast carbon exchange with the atmosphere. (confidence 0.8)
↘ Ocean carbon exchange and burial
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Sarmiento & Gruber 2006, Ocean Biogeochemical Dynamics, Princeton Univ. Press, chapter on the carbon cycle: The ocean holds ~38,000 Pg C of dissolved inorganic carbon and exchanges ~90 Pg C/yr with the atmosphere in each direction. (confidence 0.8)
↘ Fossil and geologic carbon exchange
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Berner 2004, The Phanerozoic Carbon Cycle: CO2 and O2, Oxford Univ. Press: Slow geologic carbon cycle: silicate weathering and carbonate burial remove CO2, volcanic degassing returns it, on 10^5-10^7 yr scales. (confidence 0.8)
CO2 accumulates in the atmosphere and traps heat
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Friedlingstein et al. 2022, Global Carbon Budget 2022, Earth System Science Data 14:4811-4900: Atmospheric CO2 rose from about 278 ppm preindustrial to about 417 ppm in 2022. (confidence 0.85)
Warming reduces ocean solubility and speeds soil respiration
Evidence (1) · added by Brook
- Davidson & Janssens 2006, Temperature sensitivity of soil carbon decomposition and feedbacks to climate change, Nature 440:165-173: Warming raises soil heterotrophic respiration (Q10 around 2) and lowers CO2 solubility in seawater, weakening both sinks. (confidence 0.75)