Progressive nitrogen limitation under rising CO2

Rising atmospheric CO2 boosts plant growth, which locks more nitrogen in biomass and organic matter and gradually lowers the nitrogen left for growth; plants and fungi can partly compensate by foraging for more soil nitrogen.

Boundary: where this process starts

Starts with: Elevated CO2 raises photosynthesis and net primary production

Boundary: where it ends

Ends after: Growth response to CO2 fades; Fungi and roots forage deeper and mine soil organic nitrogen

PARTICIPANTSRESOURCESPlantsMycorrhizalfungiSoil organicmatterMicrobesPlant rootsOtherparticipantsNitrogenCarbonCarbon dioxideSoil organicmatterSunlightImpact +3 of 5. Click for details and evidence.Impact +3 of 5. Click for details and evidence.↻ reinforces · weak · 0.2 extra N sustains tImpact -4 of 5. Click for details and evidence.↻ balances · strong · 0.4 low N caps CO2 resImpact +3 of 5. Click for details and evidence.Impact -3 of 5. Click for details and evidence.Impact 03 of 5. Click for details and evidence.Impact +3 of 5. Click for details and evidence.40% foraging and miningImpact +2 of 5. Click for details and evidence.15% new inputsImpact -3 of 5. Click for details and evidence.45% no accessImpact +2 of 5. Click for details and evidence.↻ reinforces · weak · 0.1 added N sustains tImpact 02 of 5. Click for details and evidence.Impact 02 of 5. Click for details and evidence.Impact 02 of 5. Click for details and evidence.Impact +3 of 5. Click for details and evidence.detail of fungal foragingImpact 02 of 5. Click for details and evidence.Elevated CO2 raises photosynthesis and net primary production: makes CarbonmakesElevated CO2 raises photosynthesis and net primary production: uses up Carbon dioxideuses upElevated CO2 raises photosynthesis and net primary production: uses SunlightMore nitrogen is held in long-lived biomass and soil organic matter: uses NitrogenMore nitrogen is held in long-lived biomass and soil organic matter: uses CarbonMineral nitrogen available to plants declines: uses up Nitrogenuses upHow plants meet the extra nitrogen demand: uses NitrogenHow plants meet the extra nitrogen demand: uses Soil organic matterFungi and roots forage deeper and mine soil organic nitrogen: makes NitrogenmakesFungi and roots forage deeper and mine soil organic nitrogen: uses up Soil organic matteruses upExtra nitrogen arrives by fixation or deposition: makes NitrogenmakesGrowth response to CO2 fades: uses NitrogenGrowth response to CO2 fades: uses Carbon dioxideMycorrhizal carbon-for-nutrient exchange loop: uses NitrogenMycorrhizal carbon-for-nutrient exchange loop: uses up Carbonuses upaccumulated as biomassCarbon: accumulated as biomassfixed by higherphotosynthesisCarbon dioxide: fixed by higher photosynthesisconverted moreefficientlySunlight: converted more efficientlylocked in long-livedbiomassNitrogen: locked in long-lived biomassstored in long-livedpoolsCarbon: stored in long-lived poolsless available to plantsNitrogen: less available to plantsacquired from newsourcesNitrogen: acquired from new sourcesmined for nitrogenSoil organic matter: mined for nitrogenreleased from minedorganic matterNitrogen: released from mined organic mattermined for nitrogen byfungiSoil organic matter: mined for nitrogen by fungiadded by fixation anddepositionNitrogen: added by fixation and depositionlimits growth responseNitrogen: limits growth responseresponse diminishes overtimeCarbon dioxide: response diminishes over timesupplied to plantpartnersNitrogen: supplied to plant partnerstraded for nutrientsCarbon: traded for nutrientsStart: Progressivenitrogen limitationunder rising CO2STARTStart: Progressive nitrogen limitation under rising CO2End: Progressivenitrogen limitationunder rising CO2ENDEnd: Progressive nitrogen limitation under rising CO2Elevated CO2 raisesphotosynthesis and netprimary production📄1Elevated CO2 raises photosynthesis and net primary productionMore nitrogen is heldin long-lived biomassand soil organic matter📄1More nitrogen is held in long-lived biomass and soil organic matterMineral nitrogenavailable to plantsdeclines👍1📄1Mineral nitrogen available to plants declinesHow plants meet theextra nitrogen demand👍1📄1How plants meet the extra nitrogen demandFungi and roots foragedeeper and mine soilorganic nitrogen👍1📄1 ↗1Fungi and roots forage deeper and mine soil organic nitrogenExtra nitrogen arrivesby fixation ordeposition📄1Extra nitrogen arrives by fixation or depositionGrowth response to CO2fades👍1📄1Growth response to CO2 fadesMycorrhizalcarbon-for-nutrientexchange loop↘👍1📄1 ↗1Mycorrhizal carbon-for-nutrient exchange loop
Line thickness = size of impact (1 to 5)% on a line = chance a fork takes that branch📄 = pieces of evidence on a stepNegative effectLoops backHypothesisResource used up (arrow into the step)Resource used, not used upResource made or released (arrow out of the step)
What am I looking at? The concepts on every map
Participant
Someone or something that takes part in a process or influences it: a plant, a microbe, a river, a machine, a force. Participants are the rows of a map.
Resource
Something a step uses or uses up: water, oxygen, sunlight, a tool. Each step has an arrow down to the resources it uses.
Step
One thing that happens in a process. Every step has at least one participant and carries evidence.
Decision fork
A step where the process can go several ways. Every outcome is labeled with a percentage, and the percentages add up to 100%. It is not limited to yes or no.
Loop
A line that carries the process back to an earlier step. We record whether it reinforces or balances, how strong it is (weak, moderate, strong), and its gain (0 to 1): the share of the effect that returns on each pass.
Size of impact
Every line says how much the earlier step affects the next one (1 to 5), in which direction (+, -, 0), and why. Thicker lines mean bigger impact.
Evidence
The support for a claim: a source and what it shows. Every step, line, change and vote needs it. Click any step or line to read its evidence.
Boundary
Where a process starts and where it ends. Every process, and every subprocess, has a start and an end.
Subprocess
A step that is itself a whole process, with its own boundary, steps and lines. Click a step marked ↘ to open it. Subprocesses nest as deep as the evidence goes.
Description
A plain-language summary of what a process is and what it covers.
Hypothesis
A proposed new connection between two parts of the map that nobody has linked. It carries a prediction, a way to test it, and a count of papers on each topic and on both. It is an unverified idea until someone tests it.

Inside this process

Every step, with its evidence

The same information as the map, as a list you can search and share. Click a participant or resource to see everywhere it appears.

Elevated CO2 raises photosynthesis and net primary production
Evidence (1) · added by Loopa
  • Finzi 2007, Increases in nitrogen uptake rather than nitrogen-use efficiency support higher rates of temperate forest productivity under elevated CO2, PNAS, doi:10.1073/pnas.0706518104: FACE experiments found higher forest productivity under elevated CO2. (confidence 0.8)
More nitrogen is held in long-lived biomass and soil organic matter
Evidence (1) · added by Loopa
  • Luo 2004, Progressive nitrogen limitation of ecosystem responses to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide, BioScience, doi:10.1641/0006-3568(2004)054[0731:pnloer]2.0.co;2: Nitrogen sequestered in long-lived pools becomes unavailable for plant growth. (confidence 0.8)
Mineral nitrogen available to plants declines
Evidence (1) · added by Loopa
  • Luo 2004, Progressive nitrogen limitation of ecosystem responses to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide, BioScience, doi:10.1641/0006-3568(2004)054[0731:pnloer]2.0.co;2: Declining soil N availability is the mechanism of progressive N limitation. (confidence 0.8)
⑂ How plants meet the extra nitrogen demand
Evidence (1) · added by Loopa
  • Terrer 2016, Mycorrhizal association as a primary control of the CO2 fertilization effect, Science, doi:10.1126/science.aaf4610: Mycorrhizal type controls access to soil N under elevated CO2. Shares are an estimate (range roughly 30-50 / 10-20 / 35-55 percent). (confidence 0.4)
Fungi and roots forage deeper and mine soil organic nitrogen
Evidence (1) · added by Loopa
  • Finzi 2007, Increases in nitrogen uptake rather than nitrogen-use efficiency support higher rates of temperate forest productivity under elevated CO2, PNAS, doi:10.1073/pnas.0706518104: Increased N uptake rather than higher N use efficiency supported the enhanced productivity at the Duke FACE site. (confidence 0.8)
Extra nitrogen arrives by fixation or deposition
Evidence (1) · added by Loopa
  • Fowler 2013, The global nitrogen cycle in the twenty-first century, Phil Trans R Soc B, doi:10.1098/rstb.2013.0165: Reactive nitrogen creation and deposition are significant inputs to terrestrial ecosystems. (confidence 0.8)
Growth response to CO2 fades
Evidence (1) · added by Loopa
  • Luo 2004, Progressive nitrogen limitation of ecosystem responses to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide, BioScience, doi:10.1641/0006-3568(2004)054[0731:pnloer]2.0.co;2: Without extra N, ecosystem CO2 response declines over time. (confidence 0.8)
↘ Mycorrhizal carbon-for-nutrient exchange loop
Evidence (1) · added by Loopa
  • Terrer 2016, Mycorrhizal association as a primary control of the CO2 fertilization effect, Science, doi:10.1126/science.aaf4610: Mycorrhizal type determines how strongly plants gain nutrients for carbon under elevated CO2. (confidence 0.8)