Earth's Systems / Energy flow / Heat redistribution by air and ocean / Wind-driven ocean circulation, upwelling, ocean heat uptake and sea level
Wind-driven ocean circulation, upwelling, ocean heat uptake and sea level
How winds drive the surface gyres, western boundary currents and coastal upwelling, how the ocean takes up most of the planet's surplus heat, and how warming water and melting ice raise sea level.
Boundary: where this process starts
Starts with: Wind drags the surface layer and the Coriolis effect turns it, so the net Ekman transport is at right angles to the wind
Boundary: where it ends
Ends after: Sea level rises unevenly: winds and currents pile water regionally, and land sinks or rises (Hudson Bay uplifts about 10 mm/yr, land south of the Great Lakes si; Ice-mass loss from glaciers and ice sheets has raised sea level twice as much as thermal expansion since 1900
Line thickness = size of impact (1 to 5)% on a line = chance a fork takes that branch📄 = pieces of evidence on a stepNegative effectLoops backHypothesisResource used up (arrow into the step)Resource used, not used upResource made or released (arrow out of the step)
What am I looking at? The concepts on every map
- Participant
- Someone or something that takes part in a process or influences it: a plant, a microbe, a river, a machine, a force. Participants are the rows of a map.
- Resource
- Something a step uses or uses up: water, oxygen, sunlight, a tool. Each step has an arrow down to the resources it uses.
- Step
- One thing that happens in a process. Every step has at least one participant and carries evidence.
- Decision fork
- A step where the process can go several ways. Every outcome is labeled with a percentage, and the percentages add up to 100%. It is not limited to yes or no.
- Loop
- A line that carries the process back to an earlier step. We record whether it reinforces or balances, how strong it is (weak, moderate, strong), and its gain (0 to 1): the share of the effect that returns on each pass.
- Size of impact
- Every line says how much the earlier step affects the next one (1 to 5), in which direction (+, -, 0), and why. Thicker lines mean bigger impact.
- Evidence
- The support for a claim: a source and what it shows. Every step, line, change and vote needs it. Click any step or line to read its evidence.
- Boundary
- Where a process starts and where it ends. Every process, and every subprocess, has a start and an end.
- Subprocess
- A step that is itself a whole process, with its own boundary, steps and lines. Click a step marked ↘ to open it. Subprocesses nest as deep as the evidence goes.
- Description
- A plain-language summary of what a process is and what it covers.
- Hypothesis
- A proposed new connection between two parts of the map that nobody has linked. It carries a prediction, a way to test it, and a count of papers on each topic and on both. It is an unverified idea until someone tests it.
Every step, with its evidence
The same information as the map, as a list you can search and share. Click a participant or resource to see everywhere it appears.
Wind drags the surface layer and the Coriolis effect turns it, so the net Ekman transport is at right angles to the wind
Evidence (2) · added by Briangold-Claude
- NOAA National Ocean Service, Currents tutorial: The Ekman spiral, https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/education/tutorial_currents/04currents4.html: The Ekman spiral, theorised by Ekman in 1902, is a consequence of the Coriolis effect acting on wind-driven surface currents, each layer deflected from the one above. (confidence 0.85)
- Sverdrup 1947, Wind-driven currents in a baroclinic ocean; with application to the equatorial currents of the eastern Pacific, PNAS 33:318-326, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.33.11.318: Wind-driven transport in a rotating ocean is set by the curl of the wind stress. (confidence 0.8)
Trade winds and westerlies make surface water converge in the subtropics, and Sverdrup flow fills five great gyres
Evidence (2) · added by Briangold-Claude
- NOAA National Ocean Service, What is a gyre?, https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/gyre.html: A gyre is a large system of rotating ocean currents; there are five major gyres: North and South Atlantic, North and South Pacific, and Indian Ocean. (confidence 0.9)
- Sverdrup 1947, Wind-driven currents in a baroclinic ocean; with application to the equatorial currents of the eastern Pacific, PNAS 33:318-326, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.33.11.318: The meridional transport integrated over depth equals the wind-stress curl divided by beta (Sverdrup relation). (confidence 0.85)
Gyres are intensified on their western sides: the Gulf Stream carries 30 to 33.5 Sv through the Florida Straits
Evidence (3) · added by Briangold-Claude
- Stommel 1948, The westward intensification of wind-driven ocean currents, Eos Trans. AGU 29:202-206, https://doi.org/10.1029/TR029i002p00202: The variation of the Coriolis parameter with latitude makes wind-driven gyre currents strongest on the western side of ocean basins. (confidence 0.9)
- Baringer & Larsen 2001, Sixteen years of Florida Current transport at 27N, Geophys. Res. Lett. 28:3179-3182, https://doi.org/10.1029/2001GL013246: Sixteen years of cable measurements give a Florida Current annual cycle from 30 Sv in January to 33.5 Sv in July. (confidence 0.9)
- NOAA National Ocean Service, Currents tutorial: Boundary currents, https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/education/tutorial_currents/04currents3.html: Each gyre is flanked by a strong narrow western boundary current such as the Gulf Stream and a weak broad eastern boundary current. (confidence 0.85)
Where winds blow along a coast, Ekman transport pushes surface water offshore and cold, nutrient-rich water wells up (eastern boundary upwelling)
Evidence (2) · added by Briangold-Claude
- NOAA National Ocean Service, What is upwelling?, https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/upwelling.html: Winds blowing along the shore push surface water away and water rises from beneath to replace it; upwelled water is colder and rich in nutrients. (confidence 0.9)
- Bonino et al. 2019, Interannual to decadal variability within and across the major Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems, Scientific Reports 9:19949, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-56514-8: Wind forcing and thermocline depth control the variability of the four Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems. (confidence 0.8)
Upwelled nutrients fertilise the surface, so the eastern boundary upwelling ecosystems are among the most productive fishing grounds
Evidence (3) · added by Briangold-Claude
- NOAA National Ocean Service, What is upwelling?, https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/upwelling.html: Upwelled nutrients fertilise surface waters, giving high biological productivity; good fishing grounds are typically found where upwelling is common. (confidence 0.85)
- Chavez & Messie 2009, A comparison of Eastern Boundary Upwelling Ecosystems, Prog. Oceanogr. 83:80-96, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2009.07.032: The four eastern boundary upwelling ecosystems (California, Humboldt, Canary, Benguela) are compared as highly productive systems. (confidence 0.7)
- Pauly & Christensen 1995, Primary production required to sustain global fisheries, Nature 374:255-257, https://doi.org/10.1038/374255a0: Fisheries catch is sustained by primary production, with upwelling systems needing a large share of their production to support their catch. (confidence 0.6)
Warming may strengthen alongshore winds and upwelling (Bakun hypothesis), while the poleward shift of the Hadley cell and subtropical highs moves upwelling wind
Evidence (2) · added by Briangold-Claude
- Bakun 1990, Global climate change and intensification of coastal ocean upwelling, Science 247:198-201, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.247.4939.198: Bakun proposed that greenhouse warming intensifies the land-sea pressure gradient and hence alongshore winds and coastal upwelling. (confidence 0.7)
- IPCC AR6 WG1 2021, Chapter 9: Ocean, Cryosphere and Sea Level Change, https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/chapter/chapter-9/: Poleward expansion of the Hadley cell and migration of subtropical highs produce robust patterns of changed upwelling in eastern boundary systems. (confidence 0.8)
Heat entering the surface is carried down by mixing, Ekman pumping and overturning: most warming is in the top 700 m, but the deep ocean below 2000 m is gaining
Evidence (2) · added by Briangold-Claude
- von Schuckmann et al. 2023, Heat stored in the Earth system 1960-2020: where does the energy go?, Earth Syst. Sci. Data 15:1675-1709, https://essd.copernicus.org/articles/15/1675/2023/: Ocean heat content is tracked for 0-300, 0-700, 700-2000 m layers; below 2000 m the trend from 1992-2020 is 0.97 ZJ/yr, equivalent to 0.06 W/m2. (confidence 0.85)
- NOAA Climate.gov, Climate Change: Ocean Heat Content, https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-ocean-heat-content: More than 90 percent of the warming of the past decades has gone into the ocean, with most in the upper layers. (confidence 0.8)
Warming seawater expands: thermal expansion added 1.39 mm/yr of the 3.69 mm/yr sea-level rise in 2006-2018 (about 38%)
Evidence (2) · added by Briangold-Claude
- IPCC AR6 WG1 2021, Chapter 9: Ocean, Cryosphere and Sea Level Change, https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/chapter/chapter-9/: Thermosteric sea-level rise was 1.39 [0.74 to 2.05] mm/yr in 2006-2018 within a total of 3.69 mm/yr. (confidence 0.85)
- NOAA Climate.gov, Climate Change: Global Sea Level, https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-sea-level: Sea-level rise due to melting in 2005-2013 was nearly twice that due to thermal expansion. (confidence 0.8)
Ice-mass loss from glaciers and ice sheets has raised sea level twice as much as thermal expansion since 1900
Evidence (2) · added by Briangold-Claude
- Frederikse et al. 2020, The causes of sea-level rise since 1900, Nature 584:393-397, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2591-3: Ice-mass loss, predominantly from glaciers, has caused twice as much sea-level rise since 1900 as thermal expansion; reservoir impoundment lowered rates in the 1970s. (confidence 0.9)
- NOAA Climate.gov, Climate Change: Global Sea Level, https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-sea-level: Global mean sea level has risen 21-24 cm since 1880, mostly from meltwater and thermal expansion. (confidence 0.85)
Sea level rises unevenly: winds and currents pile water regionally, and land sinks or rises (Hudson Bay uplifts about 10 mm/yr, land south of the Great Lakes si
Evidence (2) · added by Briangold-Claude
- NOAA Climate.gov, Climate Change: Global Sea Level, https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/climate-change-global-sea-level: Regional differences in sea-level rise exist because of variability in the strength of winds and ocean currents. (confidence 0.85)
- Sella et al. 2007, Observation of glacial isostatic adjustment in stable North America with GPS, Geophys. Res. Lett. 34:L02306, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL027081: GPS shows present-day uplift of about 10 mm/yr near Hudson Bay and subsidence of 1-2 mm/yr south of the Great Lakes from glacial isostatic adjustment. (confidence 0.9)