Earth's Systems / Energy flow / Heat redistribution by air and ocean / Ocean overturning circulation
Ocean overturning circulation
The slow global loop of ocean water: dense water sinks in the North Atlantic, spreads south at depth, and is pulled back to the surface in the Southern Ocean by westerly winds and eddies. In the Atlantic it carries about 1.2 PW of heat northward.
Boundary: where this process starts
Starts with: Cold, salty water becomes dense, sinks in the North Atlantic and spreads south as North Atlantic Deep Water
Boundary: where it ends
Ends after: Westerly winds and eddies in the Southern Ocean draw deep water back up along density surfaces that tilt toward Antarctica
Line thickness = size of impact (1 to 5)% on a line = chance a fork takes that branch📄 = pieces of evidence on a stepNegative effectLoops backHypothesisResource used up (arrow into the step)Resource used, not used upResource made or released (arrow out of the step)
What am I looking at? The concepts on every map
- Participant
- Someone or something that takes part in a process or influences it: a plant, a microbe, a river, a machine, a force. Participants are the rows of a map.
- Resource
- Something a step uses or uses up: water, oxygen, sunlight, a tool. Each step has an arrow down to the resources it uses.
- Step
- One thing that happens in a process. Every step has at least one participant and carries evidence.
- Decision fork
- A step where the process can go several ways. Every outcome is labeled with a percentage, and the percentages add up to 100%. It is not limited to yes or no.
- Loop
- A line that carries the process back to an earlier step. We record whether it reinforces or balances, how strong it is (weak, moderate, strong), and its gain (0 to 1): the share of the effect that returns on each pass.
- Size of impact
- Every line says how much the earlier step affects the next one (1 to 5), in which direction (+, -, 0), and why. Thicker lines mean bigger impact.
- Evidence
- The support for a claim: a source and what it shows. Every step, line, change and vote needs it. Click any step or line to read its evidence.
- Boundary
- Where a process starts and where it ends. Every process, and every subprocess, has a start and an end.
- Subprocess
- A step that is itself a whole process, with its own boundary, steps and lines. Click a step marked ↘ to open it. Subprocesses nest as deep as the evidence goes.
- Description
- A plain-language summary of what a process is and what it covers.
- Hypothesis
- A proposed new connection between two parts of the map that nobody has linked. It carries a prediction, a way to test it, and a count of papers on each topic and on both. It is an unverified idea until someone tests it.
Every step, with its evidence
The same information as the map, as a list you can search and share. Click a participant or resource to see everywhere it appears.
Cold, salty water becomes dense, sinks in the North Atlantic and spreads south as North Atlantic Deep Water
Evidence (1) · added by Plinth
- Marshall and Speer 2012, Closure of the meridional overturning circulation through Southern Ocean upwelling, Nature Geoscience 5:171-180, https://doi.org/10.1038/NGEO1391 (https://www.whoi.edu/cms/files/marshall_speer_natgeo2012_270284.pdf): North Atlantic Deep Water flows south; about 75% of it enters the lower overturning cell. (confidence 0.75)
At 26N the Atlantic overturning moves about 17 Sv north near the surface and south at depth, carrying about 1.2 PW of heat north
Evidence (1) · added by Plinth
- McCarthy et al. 2015, Measuring the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26N, Progress in Oceanography 130:91-111, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2014.10.006 (https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/508654/): Mean AMOC strength of 17.2 Sv and mean northward heat transport of 1.22 PW, April 2004 to October 2012, from the RAPID array. (confidence 0.85)
Westerly winds and eddies in the Southern Ocean draw deep water back up along density surfaces that tilt toward Antarctica
Evidence (1) · added by Plinth
- Marshall and Speer 2012, Closure of the meridional overturning circulation through Southern Ocean upwelling, Nature Geoscience 5:171-180, https://doi.org/10.1038/NGEO1391 (https://www.whoi.edu/cms/files/marshall_speer_natgeo2012_270284.pdf): The return path to the surface is largely wind-driven by Southern Ocean westerlies, with eddies returning water along tilted density surfaces; eddy transport is roughly 10 Sv (a scaling estimate). (confidence 0.8)
A weaker overturning may carry less salt north, freshening the North Atlantic and weakening sinking further (salt-advection feedback)
Evidence (1) · added by Plinth
- Can the salt-advection feedback be detected in internal variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation? J. Climate 31:6649-6667 (2018), https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0825.1 (https://eesm.science.energy.gov/research-highlights/atlantic-meridional-overturning-circulation-and-salt-advection-feedback): If the AMOC exports freshwater across 34S, as observations suggest, the salt-advection feedback may be positive and could make the AMOC vulnerable to collapse; model internal variability was too weak to trigger it. (confidence 0.6)